The votes are final, the brownlow is decided tomorrow and most importantly all betting markets are now up. Throughout the season I have worked on a Brownlow Medal Predictor where I predicted brownlow votes in the same 3, 2, 1 format and tried to cast my votes through an umpires eyes. I have looked through all of the best Brownlow markets and chosen my bets based on the Brownlow Predictor.
Remember these votes are just predictions and the umpires may see the game differently, gamble responsibly.
Most Team Votes
Note: for most votes in each team category I have written a post with most team votes and a most team votes multi which you can find here.
Leader after round 5
The Predictor has this as a close 3-5 way go. Nat Fyfe is favourite with the bookies at $2.75 with Tom Mitchell at $3.50 and Dustin Martin at $3.75. We think Steele Sidebottom and Rory Laird are good smokies at $11 and $13.
|Andrew Gaff||West Coast||7|
Bet on the Leader after Round 5 at:BetEasy Ladbrokes
Leader After Round 6
We have two clear leaders here in Tom Mitchell and Rory Laird. Tom Mitchell is raging favourite with the bookies at $1.75 while Rory Laird is a juicy $21. Maybe back both and hope for Rory to poll well in the early rounds.
|Andrew Gaff||West Coast||9|
Bet on the Leader after Round 6 at:BetEasy
Leader After Round 10
The bookies have Nat Fyfe as a clear leader in this market at $1.55. Tom Mitchell is at $5.50 and Jack Macrae is $5.00. Love the $41 you can get for both Gaff and Laird. Rory Laird had the best start to a season of his entire career although he tails off towards the end of the season, read about it here.
|Andrew Gaff||West Coast||17|
Bet on the Leader after Round 10 at:BetEasy Ladbrokes
We have this market as a four way go between Andrew Gaff ($12), Tom Mitchell ($10), Josh Kennedy ($12) and Steele Sidebotom ($12).
|Player||Ladbrokes HCAP||Total||Ladbrokes Hcap Total|
|Josh Kennedy (syd)||11.5||25||36.5|
Bet on the Ladbrokes Handicap at:Ladbrokes
Most Votes Round 15-23
BetEasy have a couple of end of season markets, the first one is most votes from round 15-23. We have dayne Beams and Tom Mitchell the two clear leaders in this market. Dayne is $2.60 and Tom is $6.00.
Bet on Most Votes Round 15-23 at:BetEasy
Most Votes Round 18-23
Most Votes Round 18-23 is being offered at BetEasy. We have Tom Mitchell on top in this one but only narrowly over Beams and Crouch then a host of players on 8 votes. Mitchell is at $7.00 in this market and might be worth a little dabble.
Bet on Most Votes Round 18-23 at:BetEasy
In the Group A and B at Ladbrokes we have a couple of clear leaders. Steele Sidebottom is leading Group A on 24 votes and is paying $5.50. Steele Sidebottom’s ability to win this group will largely depend on how many votes the umpires give to Brodie Grundy throughout the year. In Group B we have Dayne Beams on to by 3 votes over Jack Macrae, Beams is paying $2.20 in this group.
|Group A||Our Total||Odds|
Bet on the Ladbrokes Groups at:Ladbrokes
Team to poll Most Votes
Team Totals is being offered at both BetEasy and Ladbrokes, we have Collingwood on top narrowly over Geelong and West Coast, Collingwood are paying $3.75.
Bet on the Team Totals at:BetEasy Ladbrokes
Team Totals with BetEasy Handicap
When the BetEasy handicap is added we have a different look to the Team Totals leaderboard, we have Sydney, North and Collingwood as the top 3 in a very tight go. Sydney are paying $13.00, North are also at $13.00 with Collingwood at $10.00.
Bet on the Team Hcap Totals at:BetEasy
How Many Players to Poll Bands
10+ Vote Market
This market is for the amount of players to poll 10+ votes, the Brownlow Predictor has exactly 42 players to poll 10+ votes. We also have 6 players on 9 votes so I expect this to be in the 40-45 range.
15+ Vote Market
The predictor has exactly 25 players with 15+ votes, with 2 players on 14 votes. So I’ll be taking the 21+ market at Beteasy for $5/1.
20+ Vote Market
The predictor has exactly 11 players on 20+ votes so I expect the 20+ vote getters to be 9-11+
1+ vote getters
We have 185 players polling at least 1 vote.
Bet on the Band Markets at:BetEasy
Player Head 2 Heads
To determine our Player Head to Head predictions see the Brownlow Medal Predictor below to see how many votes we predict each player to receive.
The Brownlow Medal Predictor 2018
|Andrew Gaff||West Coast||7||28|
|Elliot Yeo||West Coast||3||17|
|Jack Redden||West Coast||0||15|
|Ollie Wines||Port Adelaide||3||12|
|Shaun Higgins||North Melbourne||3||12|
|Ben Cunnington||North Melbourne||3||10|
|Jarred Polec||Port Adelaide||1||9|
|Robbie Gray||Port Adelaide||4||9|
|Sebastian Ross||St Kilda||2||9|
|Ben Brown||North Melbourne||5||8|
|Chad Wingard||Port Adelaide||0||8|
|Jack Darling||West Coast||0||8|
|Jack Steven||St Kilda||3||8|
|Jarrad Waite||North Melbourne||2||6|
|Jordan De Goey||Collingwood||0||6|
|Tom Rockliff||Port Adelaide||0||6|
|Jack Steele||St Kilda||0||5|
|Jade Gresham||St Kilda||0||5|
|Justin Westhoff||Port Adelaide||3||5|
|Luke Shuey||West Coast||0||5|
|Shannon Hurn||West Coast||3||5|
|Travis Boak||Port Adelaide||2||5|
|Brayden Fiorini||Gold Coast||3||4|
|David Swallow||Gold Coast||3||4|
|Jack Ziebell||North Melbourne||0||4|
|Paul Ahern||North Melbourne||0||4|
|Scott Thompson||North Melbourne||1||4|
|Ben Jacobs||North Melbourne||0||3|
|Blake Acres||St Kilda||3||3|
|Brad Ebert||Port Adelaide||0||3|
|Chris Masten||West Coast||3||3|
|Dom Sheed||West Coast||3||3|
|Jarrod Witts||Gold Coast||1||3|
|Jarryd Lyons||Gold Coast||3||3|
|Jed Anderson||North Melbourne||0||3|
|Josh Kennedy||West Coast||0||3|
|Luke McDonald||North Melbourne||0||3|
|Matt De Boer||GWS||0||3|
|Sam Gray||Port Adelaide||2||3|
|Trent Dumont||North Melbourne||0||3|
|Aaron Young||Gold Coast||2||2|
|Jack Watts||Port Adelaide||2||2|
|Jamie Cripps||West Coast||0||2|
|Ryan Clarke||North Melbourne||2||2|
|Sam Powell-Pepper||Port Adelaide||0||2|
|Billy Hartung||North Melbourne||1||1|
|Brad Sheppard||West Coast||0||1|
|David Armitage||St Kilda||0||1|
|Jack Billings||St Kilda||1||1|
|Jarrod Harbrow||Gold Coast||1||1|
|Lachie Weller||Gold Coast||0||1|
|Mason Wood||North Melbourne||0||1|
|Riley Bonner||Port Adelaide||1||1|
|Tim Membrey||St Kilda||0||1|
|Todd Goldstein||North Melbourne||0||1|
|Tom Jonas||Port Adelaide||0||1|
Round by Round Brownlow Predictions
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