The start of the 2019 footy season is only a couple of weeks away and the Footy Brain has had a look at some of the major AFL betting categories. I’ve predicted the top contenders in each category for 2019.
Winner – Collingwood – $6.00
The Pies were Runner Up last year, losing by 5 points in the Grand Final to the West Coast Eagles. This year they add Jordan Roughead and a massive recruit from Brisbane in Dayne Beams. Dayne returns to Collingwood after being traded to Brisbane in 2014 and he is seriously one of the best midfielders in the comp. Another player returning to Collingwood after two years absent through injury is Jamie Elliott, Jamie looked excellent in the first JLT game and will add some scoring power to their forward line.
Add these players to their already star studded line up that includes the best ruckman in the comp Brodie Grundy. A midfield that includes Pendlebury, Treloar, Sidebottom, Taylor Adams and the up and coming star Jaidyn Stephenson. Their list very runs deep with DeGoey, Wells, Tom Phillips, Hoskin-Elliott, Varcoe and more. With this list they are going to finish Top 4 again this year and give themselves every chance to win the flag again.
Runner Up – GWS Giants – $15
GWS has been plagued with injuries over the past few years, the amount of talent they have in their team is ridiculous and if they can get a clean run at a full year I believe they will build momentum and finish top 4. This year they lost Dylan Shiel, Tom Scully, Will Setterfield and Rory Lobb through the trade period, although they have players waiting in the wings to step up to the next level.
Tim Taranto is one of the players that looks like he’ll take the next step and when you have a nucleus of Callan Ward, Josh Kelly, Stephen Coniglio and Lachie Whitfield it won’t be hard to complement them. Zac Williams and Toby Greene are fit this year and their forward and back line’s are solid, lead by Jeremy Cameron and Phil Davis respectively. Look out for GWS to realise their potential in 2019.Bet on the Premiership at BetEasy
1st – Collingwood – $1.95
As said above the Pies are in for another good year in 2019, their talent is ridiculous and the Grand Final loss of 2018 will spur them on this year.
2nd – GWS – $3.50
An injury free year in 2019 and GWS will be right up there at the pointy end of the season, great potential in this team.
3rd – West Coast – $1.95
Last years premiers will have another solid year in 2019, there hasn’t been much of a change to their team, they finished second last year and they will finish similar in 2019.
4th – Richmond – $1.50
It will be interesting to see how the Tom Lynch and Jack Riewoldt combination will play out in 2019, they will be in contention come September 2019 but I think a couple of teams are going to be ahead of them this year.Bet on the Top 4 at BetEasy
Notables to Make The 8
Port Adelaide – $2.35
Port Adelaide finished 10th last year after losing their last 4 games of the year. They lost a couple of players that they didn’t want to lose in the off season, being Polec and Wingard but they’ve picked up Ryan Burton from Hawthorn who looks like he could be a future gun. They picked up Connor Rozee (5) and Zak Butters (12) in the draft, they are both highly touted and should have an immediate impact for Port. Overall they have a plenty of talent and are a top 8 team if they perform to their potential in 2018.
St Kilda – $6.50
This might seem like a strange one but St Kilda could have a meteoric rise in 2019, in the draft they focused on mature age players with speed and aggression to make an immediate impact. The tackling and forward pressure of Matt Parker and Robbie Young will add pressure to defenders trying to clear their defence. It will be a big year for players of the likes of McCartin, Acres, Billings etc who many expected to take a leap forward last year. If their mid tier players do take the next step in 2019 look for a big rise in St Kilda’s ladder position.
Adelaide Crows – $1.42
The Crows missed the 8 last year and they were probably the best team to miss. Their off-season last year was plagued with problems stemming from a pre season camp that went wrong. They still have a great list and with players like Brad Crouch and Brodie Smith back in action look for a top 8 finish.Bet on Make the 8 Category at TopBetta
Notables to Miss The 8
Hawthorn – $1.62
The Hawks have lost the reigning Brownlow Medalist to a broken leg this season and I believe that will spell big problems for Hawthorn in 2019. Their senior players are ageing and their younger players still aren’t quite up to it.
Sydney – $2.00
Sydney have finished 6th the last two seasons and there is a change of the guard slowly taking place at the Swans, they have some great young players coming through but I think they will slide down on the ladder for the next couple of years before moving up the ladder again.
Essendon – $2.30
Essendon have looked flat throughout the JLT and in my opinion have been overhyped by the media. They get Joe Daniher back from injury and Dylan Shiel arrives from GWS although I don’t see these two players increasing their ladder position by a lot. Shiel will have nowhere to hide at the Bombers, he and Merrett will be their two best midfielders and throughout the JLT Daniher has looked off the mark. I have the Bombers finishing 9th or 10th.Bet on Miss The 8 Category at Topbetta
Gold Coast Suns – $1.40
It’s hard to go past the favourites, Gold Coast for the Spoon in 2019. Gold Coast have lost Tom Lynch (Richmond), Aaron Hall (North Melbourne), Jack Scrimshaw (Hawthorn), Steven May (Melbourne), Kade Kolodjashnij (Melbourne) and haven’t replaced them with much. Gold Coast finished 17th on the ladder in 2018 with only 4 wins and I see 2019 as being a worse year for the Suns.
$1.40 – Bet on Gold Coast for Least Wins at Ladbrokes
1st – Patrick Cripps – $9.00 @ Unibet (Bet Now)
I’m predicting a sharp rise for Carlton this year, their recruiting in the off season was excellent and they have filled some massive holes in their team with talent. They have added Will Setterfield and Sam Walsh to the midfield to help Cripps, Murphy, Dow and Ed Curnow. Mitch McGovern and Alex Fasolo have been added to the forward line to assist Charlie Curnow and Harry McKay.
Quite simply Patrick Cripps is an absolute freak and managed to finish 4th in the 2018 Brownlow count with 20 votes. Carlton finished dead last in 2018 with a total of 2 wins, if they can win 9 or 10 games this year which isn’t out of reach, Cripps should be able to amass much more votes than last year. The umpires love him and will give him votes in losing games so if they can win a few this year Cripps is my number 1 pick
2nd – Josh Kelly – $15
It’s a matter of getting through a year injury free for Josh Kelly and he will be right up there in the Brownlow Count come the end of the year. He is definitely one of the best players in the comp when he is on his game and without Shiel in the mid this year I believe he will get even more of the ball. Kelly and Coniglio will be the two main men in the GWS midfield with Ward doing a lot of in and under work so look for him to finish in the top couple if he gets through the year injury free.
3rd – Patrick Dangerfield – $8.00
With the recruits of Gary Rohan and Luke Dahlhaus in the off season I expect Dangerfield to go back to a more permanent role in the midfield in 2019. When he is in the midfield he commands the ball and racks up a ton of posessions. If his midfield time increases this year so will his vote count and he may repeat 2016 and win Charlie again.
Notable Roughies – Stephen Coniglio $51, Matt Crouch $51, Clayton Oliver $26.Bet on the Brownlow Medal at Neds
1st – Josh J Kennedy – $5.00
With Josh Kennedy it is just a matter of staying healthy and he’s going to kick goals, last year he only managed 11 games in the regular season. He kicks massive bags in games and will regularly kick bags of five or more. No injuries and Kennedy will be hard to beat.
2nd – Tom Mcdonald – $13.00 @ Beteasy
With Jesse Hogan leaving for Fremantle, Tom is going to be the main man up front for the Dees this year. Last Year these two had a combined goal tally of 100 goals, McDonald (53) and Hogan (47). That means someone is going to be scoring a lot more goals for the Dees this year and that person is likely to be Tom McDonald. $13 is definitely over the odds for Tom to win the Coleman.
3rd – Lance Franklin – $5.50
I have Lance Franklin as third on the Coleman list this year because I believe Sydney are going to have a bad year. A bad year will mean less opportunity for Buddy and result in a lower goal tally. His pure talent will snag him plenty of goals but I don’t have him as wining the Coleman this year.Bet on the Coleman Medal at Unibet
1st – Sam Walsh – $2.75
Time will tell with this one but Sam Walsh’s first JLT game was seriously impressive, couple that with the fact that he is going to get plenty of midfield time with Carlton and I think he’s a lock for the rising star. I think his biggest competition will come from his fellow teammate Will Setterfield, they will both get a good crack at it at the Blues in 2019.$2.75 – Bet on Sam Walsh at BetEasy
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